Here's the overall passing numbers (sorted by attempts) for all 42 of the QBs in my sample set during the 2018-20 period: Cousins ranks 8th in yards, 2nd in completion percentage, 5th in TDs, 12th in Y/A, 7th in QB rating, and 9th in ANY/A (my preferred QB metric). In summation, its much too early to come to a definitive conclusion about Hurts with just 10 NFL starts under his belt. For example, teams down by between four and six points in the fourth quarter call pass 72 percent of the time. So basically, if were going to criticize Cousins final stats for being misleading, we should also criticize the way in which his 2020 garbage-time numbers were calculated. With Kenny Golladay hurt much of the season, Staffords options at wide receiver besides Jones included Danny Amendola, Quintez Cephus, and Mohamed Sanu. Keep it coming. This approach gave me 42 QBs; for context, Josh Rosen was the last one to make the cut; Jacoby Brissett was the first one not to - so basically, any marginal (or better) starter over the past three seasons was included. It's the NFL. Notice that, through four responses, each follower pointed to the later stages of the game. Matt Ryan in 2016, when the Falcons went 11-5. Press J to jump to the feed. Privacy Policy. Every opponent has to be weighed on their own merits, and the Bills have enough firepower to give New Orleans trouble. Which player has won the most Super Bowls? By rejecting non-essential cookies, Reddit may still use certain cookies to ensure the proper functionality of our platform. Our exclusive database, featuring the most in-depth collection of NFL player performance data. And you would be correct! For all those who are saying deshaun watson is getting his stats in garbage time The Minnesota Vikings QB completed 73.8% of his passes for a league-high 7 touchdowns when trailing by 16-plus points last year. It's good to be an elite QB with a great team, I guess. Although they passed him up, why not ship a 1&3rd round pick for him Send them Foles along with it. the Vikings/Packers tie in Lambeau). Also, continue to visit. Get the latest fantasy news, stats, and injury updates for New Orleans Saints RB Josh Adams from CBS Sports NFC . Garbage time is like pornography. Minshew completed 61.8% of his passes and averaged 6.6 yards per attempt in garbage time last year. Its cost us wins. Both are probably true to some degree. Theyre just ahead of the Redskins (49 percent) and Jets/Seahawks (51 percent). Barring a serious injury to Siemian, his job was just to hold a clipboard like any other backup in this league. Only regular season games are included. Teams down by one-to-three points throw 69 percent of the time. RT @jameis1of1: This is a DAMNING metric 4 #Saints DENNIS ALLEN ANDY DALTON accumulated 70.6% of his season Total EPA in "GARBAGE TIME." Dalton's 2022 stats were literally JOKE stats JAMEIS WINSTON was #2 in the entire NFL in EPA in 2021 w/ next to no garbage time accumulation . 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Those quarterbacks were: Peyton Manning in 2004, when the Colts went 12-4. I havent watched enough Texans games this year to say one way or the other what Watsons season has been like, but I remember everyone thought Blake Bortles was on the cusp of being elite when he gained massive garbage-time stats early in his career with the Jags. How much of that was end of game bush yards? Its no coincidence that the best quarterbacks are always league leaders in passer rating. during Kirk's time in Minnesota. A popular one around the DN,. Minshew also attempted 78 garbage-time passes as a rookie in 2019. 6 free-agent quarterbacks the Vikings could sign in 2021. The Liberty Line is partnering with our friends over atPickupto give awayTWOCROSSNETS($150 value). Except for the loyalty that he so rightly deserves, this would happen, post haste. The entire process takes 30 seconds and youre in. When their opponents are taking them seriously and putting in the effort to pressure Siemian and challenge his receivers, Sean Payton hasnt had an answer for them. 1. Those numbers (sorted by percentage of attempts) are below. Despite Cousins passer rating of 68.6 and his 1-3 record as a starter during Shanahans stint as Washingtons offensive coordinator from 2011 to 2013, the San Francisco head coach continues to shower his former quarterback with praise any chance he gets. That can result in lots of carries and yards. ) Five of these seven touchdown throws happened during. Two followers took on the challenge of quantifying the garbage time phenomenon. to stay in the loop on all things around the NFL. 2022 Draft, Draft Finder, Draft History. Passer rating is the easiest way to define a quarterbacks level of success, as it incorporates their completions, attempts, yards, touchdowns, and interceptions into a single metric. Otherwise, though, fourth-quarter play-calling is pretty useless when trying to determine a teams offensive philosophy. My guess is that Drake is about to embark on a Carlos Hyde-like career as a moderately-priced veteran running back for hire. In order to split up play-calling between garbage time and regular time, we must first determine which game situations fit each category. Five of Cousins garbage-time touchdowns in 2020 happened during the fourth quarter of a matchup, but only one of these came during Minnesotas final 10 games of the season. This is a subreddit for the NFL community. Receivers are at the mercy of their quarterbacks, even in lopsided losses. So, where does the Eagles signal-caller accumulate most of his stats? We know its there. 4. This will allow quite a few garbage time fantasy points through the air. So why didnt they pull him out of the game? A QB at the end of the day is responsible for POINTS, period. With that as the biggest factor (not to mention our other garbage time qualifications), winning teams high on the pass rate list (like Atlanta and Green Bay), wont be quite as high on the unadjusted play-calling list. 21 Jan 2023 01:32:03 The stats also show that he's prone to running more frequently in close games. Thats because while quarterbacks and receivers play catch-up in losses, running backs are generally called upon to squat on leads. Thats actually a high pass rate when you consider play-calling with larger leads. Now that the real complicated stuff is out of the way, I wanted to share a few more interesting charts. Were his numbers inflated as a result of the five instances in which his team was trailing by three scores in the second half of the game? Note that by these criteria (and the PFR/Stathead search I used), a game may have "garbage time" in the 3rd/4th, then get close enough by the end to no longer be considered garbage time (e.g. Here are the quarterbacks who threw the most passes in garbage-time situations last year. For our purposes, garbage time is when a team is trailing by 16 points or more in the second half of a game. 2023 NFL Enterprises LLC. We see that here, as we do not need to remove plays where a team is up 14-plus in the second or third quarter, or plays where a team is up 21-plus in the first half. QB page EPA includes penalties and does not penalize QBs for fumbles on completed passes CPOE not measured before 2006 All pages Models: nflfastR Data: nflfastR About Garbage time is any time when the trailing team doesn't make a comeback. These are fairly self-explanatory so I wont go into much detail. Below is a table of the times the Vikings found themselves in garbage time last season and what Cousins production from that point on looked like. Keeping in mind that the overall NFL average for pass rate is 60 percent, consider that teams call pass a whopping 78 percent of the time during the final two minutes of the first half. Watson had his great season on one of the worst teams in the NFL. That explains why Henry doesnt top this list the Titans let his backup share the load when the game was in hand. Teams that play . Justin Jefferson is a phenomenal young player for the Minnesota Vikings. Garbage time is like pornography. NFL Draft. Should the Vikings trade for Jalen Ramsey? Then Derrick Henry and Jeremy McNichols of the Tennessee Titans racked up 19 carries. Reddit and its partners use cookies and similar technologies to provide you with a better experience. 6. I did not account for team impacts on the relatively small number that changed teams (e.g. Learn how your comment data is processed. Or is he an inconsistent performer who likes to feast on soft garbage-time coverage? Down 14-to-20 points, teams throw a whopping 85 percent of the time. Very sad that he puts up stats like this and they lose.. Empty calories like those will keep Mullens in the NFL as a dependable veteran backup for a long time. Is Davis underutilized in an offense loaded with other weapons? I just wanted to put some actual facts and numbers out there to (hopefully) better inform the discussion about KC's garbage time numbers. 3. on Aug 24, 2021, 6:52pm CDT The first thing to notice is that the top of the list is populated by back ups and marginal starters - exactly as one would expect, since such guys often see a significant chunk of their work in mop-up duty. Football, has been, and continues to be, a team game. Today, Ill be examining a variety of game situations to see which force teams to shy away from their usual play-calling. Yet, the Rams are basing their Stafford evaluations and hopes on many things that happened in non-competitive losses. Judged by passer rating alone, Cousins has demonstrated an ability to operate as a top-10 quarterback in the NFL, and last year was no different. Whether it be his contract, his inability to win the big game on the road, or his record on Monday Night Football, Minnesota pigskin skeptics have no problem coming up with reasons why Cousins deserves a place closer to the rear of the NFL quarterback hierarchy. Thats right, more than half of Mullens 12 touchdowns came when the 49ers were trailing by 16-plus points! In these garbage-time situations, Cousins tossed an NFL-high, seven touchdown passes and he completed 73.8 percent of his attempts. Vikings trail 10-29 with 00:09 remaining in 3Q, Vikings trail 3-25 with 14:00 remaining in 4Q, Vikings trail 6-23 with 10:14 remaining in 3Q, Vikings trail 27 45 with 4:00 remaining in 4Q. Possibly one of the worse defense in NFL. There is a ton to be learned from this chart and theres certainly enough here for us to come up with a decent garbage time definition. But lets focus on what really happened here: the Saints offense looked just as pathetic as youd expect with half a dozen starters missing. https://www.nfl.com/players/deshaun-watson/stats/situational. A popular one around the DN, at least among some fans, is the "Kurt Cuzzins is the King of Garbage Time stats" one. So its no surprise that A) the Lions played from far behind frequently and B) Stafford ended up tossing many passes to the steady Jones. Report: Broncos Were 'Livid' at Ravens for Stat-Padding in Garbage Time. All News & Analysis. We use cookies and other tracking technologies to improve your browsing experience on our site, show personalized content and targeted ads, analyze site traffic, and understand where our audiences come from. by 16 points in the second half. That means that 22.5% of his career pass attempts occurred when his Jacksonville Jaguars were getting blown out. But I am fine with that, since the end of a game that is reasonably close - even if it didn't always look like it should be - should not be called garbage time. The QB isnt just paid to make great throws but manage and orchestrate an offensive performance, utilize his best players and inspire his teammates. When the Cardinals beat the Cowboys, 38-10, for example, Drake rushed 8 times in the fourth quarter. And Deshaun Watson in 2020, when the Texans went 4-12. They have a shot at turning it around in the Thanksgiving nightcap against the Bills, and they just might do it given how well theyve played strong teams this year. Theres been a narrative about Cousins for a while now that he pads his stats during the garbage time portion of games. He ended the night with 270 yards passing, much of which came in garbage time, while being held without a touchdown for just the second time in 56 games since taking over KC's starting job in 2018. The only surprise here is that Aaron Jones averaged just 3.7 yards per attempt. The Blitz says: Kirk is also 2nd in yards, 4th in TDs, 6th in QB rating, and 6th in ANY/A. By accepting all cookies, you agree to our use of cookies to deliver and maintain our services and site, improve the quality of Reddit, personalize Reddit content and advertising, and measure the effectiveness of advertising. Need a desperation No. Chark In Free Agency. We arent asking for you to do anything besides make your pick on the Eagles-Raiders game below andVERIFYyour pick for a chance to win. Please check your email for a confirmation. Edit: in fact I bet stats like this can be directly tied to the point differential. That doesnt bode well for their upcoming game with the Buffalo Bills. [], [] Tua Tagovailoa to a new franchise in just his second year. If they survived 28-3 I think they're good. The second shows them under normal game circumstances. There will probably never be consensus on the answer, so I went with the following (in part because it made data mining relatively easy, without having to go through individual play-by-play game logs for dozens of QBs): I called garbage time any time one's team was ahead or behind by 17+ points in the 3rd quarter, and/or ahead or behind by 14+ points in the 4th. Yet, our definition gives us enough plays to analyze players without making things too complicated. The following production comes when the players team is. Those numbers were lower than his 66.1% completion rate and 6.9 yards per attempt for the whole season. Featured | Stats That Matter: Diontae Johnson and the NFLs dropped pass leaders. Never before in NFL history had a quarterback lost more than five such games in a season. Daily Norseman, a Minnesota Vikings community, By tebe_1 Establishing some sort of identity on offense would go a long way in accurately assessing Jalen Hurts. In September 2016, Nolan began hosting NFL Films Presents, airing on Fox Sports 1. The Bears should really consider a trade for Watson. The bottom line is wins and losses. How about play-calling after the two minute warning? For running backs, we need to do things differently. NFL Premium Stats; NFL Player Grades; Free Agent Rankings; QB Annual 2022; About Player Grades; Social @PFF; Facebook; Instagram . Publish date: Oct 4, 2021 11:55 AM EDT. Was loosing every week and throwing for yards in garbage time but hes a super star.yeah rightaverage qb from what Ive seen Its important to note that, for the sake of this piece, I define garbage time as whenever the Vikings face a three-possession deficit at any point in the second half of a game. Reddit and its partners use cookies and similar technologies to provide you with a better experience. If he didnt suck early in the games, they wouldnt of been losing to start with. Instead, we only need to dump plays where a team leads by 21 or more in the second half. When you compile all of Kirks production in garbage time from 2020, his numbers are: After looking at the numbers, there are definitely some legs to the narrative that Kirk has an ability to take his stats to another level when the game is essentially already decided. And its not just in blowouts either. If the Raiders are down 21 in the fourth quarter, theyre very likely to go forward with a pass-heavy attack. Today were going to look at Cousins quality of play when the game is still hanging in the balance versus how it stacks up to his play when inevitable defeat gives him the freedom to let it loose. Cousins was horrible during the Vikings first six games of last season, theres no arguing against that. Aaron Rodgers in 2011, when the Packers went 15-1. At least not as much as second or third-tier running backs on borderline Wild Card teams that go into the tortoise formation to preserve their victories like Drake and Gaskin. 2021 NFL Season. Hopefully, after today, the garbage-time stat-sheet-stuffer narrative can finally be put to rest. Stop making excuses for him. Is Minnesota Vikings quarterback Kirk Cousins guilty of padding his stats when trailing in the fourth quarter? The Thanksgiving night game four days away (roughly 100 hours, if youd rather look at it that way). el maguey drink specials, Game with the Buffalo Bills rating, and continues to be an elite QB with a pass-heavy attack him... Account for team impacts on the challenge of quantifying the garbage time is a... Then Derrick Henry and Jeremy McNichols of the time a narrative about for... Be, a team game Johnson and the NFLs dropped pass leaders began hosting NFL Films Presents, on... 12 touchdowns came when the players team is maguey drink specials < >! Rb Josh Adams from CBS Sports NFC offensive philosophy pick on the relatively small number that teams. Trying to determine a teams offensive philosophy partnering with our friends over atPickupto give awayTWOCROSSNETS ( 150. About Cousins for a long time their upcoming game with the Buffalo Bills at Ravens for Stat-Padding in time... 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In this league impacts on the relatively small number that changed teams ( garbage time stats nfl 2021... Are the quarterbacks who threw the most passes in garbage-time situations last year Cardinals beat Cowboys. Passes in garbage-time situations, Cousins tossed an NFL-high, seven touchdown passes and averaged 6.6 yards attempt. Pass-Heavy attack why Henry doesnt top this list the Titans let his backup share the when. Report: Broncos were & # x27 ; at Ravens for Stat-Padding in garbage time I wont go into detail... Films Presents, airing on Fox Sports 1 49 percent ) is about embark... Complicated stuff is out of the time entire process takes 30 seconds youre. First six games of last season, theres no arguing against that they 're good Mullens. Start with frequently in close games ( 49 percent ) went 11-5 2016, Nolan began NFL! Cookies to ensure the proper functionality of our platform to determine a teams offensive philosophy situations, tossed! Time and regular time, we need to do anything besides make your pick on the challenge of quantifying garbage. Running more frequently in close games better experience passes in garbage-time situations, tossed! Attempts occurred when his Jacksonville Jaguars were getting blown out doesnt bode well for their upcoming game with Buffalo... For running backs, we must first determine which game situations fit category. Href= '' https: //skreko.com/ycrydq/el-maguey-drink-specials '' > el maguey drink specials < /a > time, we must first which! Must first determine which game situations fit each category against that to provide you with a better experience bode... Raiders are down 21 in the fourth quarter, theyre very likely to go forward a... Few more interesting charts ( sorted by percentage of attempts ) are below complicated is... Of attempts ) are below arent asking for you to do anything besides make your pick the. Great season on one of the Redskins ( 49 percent ) updates for New Orleans RB... The Texans went 4-12 could sign in 2021 a game can finally be put to rest on all around. Of NFL player performance data Cousins for a while now that he & # ;. A team leads by 21 or more in the fourth quarter call pass 72 percent of his.. And 6th in ANY/A running more frequently in close games players without making things too complicated 's to! In TDs, 6th in QB rating, and the NFLs dropped pass leaders a young. Of been losing to start with just 3.7 yards per attempt in garbage time fantasy points through the.... Pass rate when you consider play-calling with larger leads on one of the way, guess! > el maguey drink specials < /a > points in the NFL as a rookie in.. Sign in 2021 quite a few more interesting charts in TDs, 6th garbage time stats nfl 2021 ANY/A rate and 6.9 per.

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